This article by Miles Mathis, published on December 3, 2020, argues that mainstream solar scientists are deliberately misrepresenting the timing of the Solar Minimum. Mathis claims that organizations like Solen.info and individuals such as Patrick Geryl and Jan Alvestad have been instructed to present the Solar Minimum as occurring in November 2019, when in reality it did not. Mathis asserts that this is an attempt to discredit his 2014 prediction of the minimum occurring in 2018.
The author explains that the perceived minimum is achieved by using a 13-month (365-day) smoothing technique on the data. Mathis argues that this long-term smoothing artificially shifts minima forward in time on falling curves and maxima backward on rising curves, creating a “big smoothing cheat.” He provides several examples using graphs from Solen.info and NOAA to illustrate how this smoothing distorts real data, making falling lines appear steeper and creating false troughs or peaks.
Mathis then contrasts this smoothed data with “real numbers,” focusing on solar flux and sunspot counts. He presents evidence of inconsistencies and potential data manipulation by NOAA and the Solar Physics Research Center (SWPC), suggesting that they have ignored or misrepresented sunspot data to support the November 2019 minimum claim. He specifically highlights discrepancies in reporting sunspot counts for July 2018, which he believes was the actual sunspot minimum, versus the months around November 2019.
The article also delves into the past predictions of Patrick Geryl, who previously claimed a solar flare would destroy Earth in 2012, and links Jan Alvestad to Geryl. Mathis criticizes NASA for aligning with these individuals, citing their announcement that Cycle 25 began in December 2019, which Mathis also refutes. He suggests that NASA and other agencies, like FEMA, may be using fear-mongering tactics, similar to Michio Kaku, to secure funding for space weather initiatives. Mathis concludes by pointing out that a recent spectacular rise in sunspots and flux, coinciding with the Jupiter-Saturn conjunction, contradicts Geryl, Alvestad, and Doug Biesecker’s predictions of a weak solar cycle.
Summary with marked entities:
Mainstream Solar scientists are accused by Miles Mathis of deliberately manipulating data to falsely claim the Solar Minimum occurred in November 2019, as opposed to his 2014 prediction of 2018. This alleged deception is attributed to entities like Solen.info, Patrick Geryl, and Jan Alvestad, who purportedly use a 13-month smoothing technique to create an artificial minimum. Mathis argues that this method, which he calls a “big smoothing cheat,” distorts real solar flux and sunspot data, as demonstrated with examples from Solen.info and NOAA. He provides his own analysis of actual sunspot counts, suggesting July 2018 as the true sunspot minimum, and points to potential data misreporting by NOAA and the SWPC. Furthermore, Mathis critiques NASA’s alignment with Geryl, who previously predicted Earth’s destruction in 2012, and speculates that fear-mongering tactics are employed by various figures, including Michio Kaku, to secure government funding, with NASA and FEMA working together on space weather preparedness. The author concludes by noting that a recent surge in solar activity, linked to the Jupiter-Saturn conjunction, invalidates predictions of a weak Solar Cycle 25 made by Geryl, Alvestad, and Doug Biesecker.
List of identified entities:
- Miles Mathis
- Solar scientists
- Solar Minimum
- Solen.info
- Patrick Geryl
- Jan Alvestad
- November 2019
- 2014
- 2018
- 13-month
- 365-day
- Solar
- Solen
- Researchgate
- SpaceWeather
- Wayback Machine
- NOAA
- September 2017
- November 2017
- April 2018
- January 2017
- February 1, 2014
- April
- December 2011
- Week
- Month
- September 2017-April 2018
- 2018
- June 2018
- January 2019
- March 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- November 1, 2019
- October
- December
- January
- February
- August
- March
- July
- May 2019
- April
- May
- November 2018
- August 2019
- Earth
- Sun
- Solar Cycle
- July 21
- SWPC
- August 2019
- September 2019
- October 2019
- November 2019
- September 8
- Cycle 25
- October 31, 2019
- S6276
- September 16
- September 24
- July 2018
- June
- June 26
- August 1
- August 2
- August 14
- February 2019
- June 2019
- February 13
- March 3-4
- March 4
- March 3
- March 2019
- June
- June 10
- March 2018
- March 1
- March 2
- March 15
- March 17
- March 18
- March 8
- August 2019
- 2019
- 2020
- NASA
- December 2019
- Cycle 25
- 21, 2020
- March 17
- 30
- 11
- 24
- FEMA
- National Space Weather and Strategy and Action Plan
- Michio Kaku
- 2012
- September
- Doug Biesecker
- Ph.D.
- Jupiter-Saturn conjunction